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「600326资金流向」海外暴跌A股独秀(2014-12-17)


600326资金流向——一招制敌的防身武器

  曾几何时,欧美股市节节攀升,上证指数在2200点左右徘徊。现在风转过来了。近期,由于油价大幅下跌,海外股市出现大幅下跌。只有a股幸存下来,不跌反涨。昨天(12月16日),在证券公司的带领下,他们又回到了3000点。《每日经济新闻》记者注意到,分析人士认为,a股的单边上涨趋势取决于这两个基因的助推。
  无视海外暴跌收复3000点

600326资金流向

  由于油价大幅下跌以及对新一轮欧元区危机的担忧,富时100指数上周下跌逾6%,创下2011年8月以来最大单周跌幅。
  无独有偶,经历上周的暴跌之后,周一美国三大股指继续下跌,道琼斯指数下跌0.58%,标准普尔500指数下跌0.63%,纳斯达克指数下跌1.04%。

600326资金流向——上市公司治理

  回到亚太市场,昨日,韩国日经225指数和首尔综合指数分别下跌2.08%和0.85%,恒生指数也低开低走,下跌1.55%,收于22670.5点,创下近半年新低。

  Analysts believe that the global stock market decline is mainly based on two major concerns of investors: first, oil prices continue to fall; second, China’s industrial output data is lower than expected, making the market worried about the global economic growth prospects.
  According to data released by HSBC yesterday, the initial value of China’s manufacturing PMI in December was 49.5, a new seven month low, and it was the first time since April this year that it fell below the 50 mark.Industry insiders pointed out that the decline of HSBC’s PMI to below 50% indicates a slowdown in domestic demand, while the rise of deflationary pressure indicates weak demand.

600326资金流向——巴里布

  However, under the above background, a shares have stepped out of the independent market.Yesterday, the Shanghai Stock Index fluctuated for four consecutive trading days after a big fall on December 9, and rose 2.31% to close at 3021.52, recovering 3000 points, becoming the only scenic spot in the world’s major markets.
  Two characteristics help stock index up

  Analysts believe that there are two major reasons why a shares rose independently in the context of external market decline.

600326资金流向——人民币升值的利与弊

  First of all, judging from the operation of US stocks, they are still at a historical high.In contrast, the A-share market has deviated from the U.S. and overseas markets since the second half of 2009, and has been in a bear market for a long time, shaking around 2000 points all the year round.When a series of relaxed fiscal policies and economic transformation and reform policies continue to be introduced, investors will naturally pay attention to them and promote the relatively “low price” A-share market to rise.
  On the other hand, the current round of A-share rise is not mainly driven by foreign funds, but by the needs of the stock market itself and the investors’ good expectations of the domestic in-depth reform.Benefiting from the new national economic policies, the dual wheel drive pattern of emerging growth and reform has been formed.The release of long-term dividends determines that the long-term good foundation of the main board market is gradually forming.

  从本轮A股上涨伊始到现在,《每日经济新闻》一直把握着市场脉络。

  12月4日,主板疯狂的逼空行情令指数飞速上涨,当日中国石化和中国石油双双涨停,本报通过数据统计和分析后独家作出两篇报道:《中石化涨停史上8次打板均预示行情即将变盘》、《“大象”轮涨逼空到极致冲高减仓兑现盈利正当时》,随后,沪指在冲上3091.32点出现大幅跳水,展开多日震荡,结束了之前凌厉的逼空快涨行情。
  12月15日,本报又再次梳理此次逼空行情,以《二八行情犹如跷跷板风格轮换特征明显》的报道来解读市场目前风格转换明显的特点,提示投资者注意市场板块风格转换带来的投资机会。

  12月16日,承接前一日报道,本报又提出《A股本轮逼空行情创史上放量之最暂时缩量非危险信号》,昨日,市场走势又一次印证本报观点,在券商股带领下,沪指大涨2.31%,收复3000点大关。
  一位私募人士认为,未来A股市场仍有望震荡上行,投资者可以着重关注市场板块热点的持续性。 只要市场一直存在持续的热点,那么做多氛围就能有效延续;如果热点难以持续,做多动能就会减弱,届时市场可能会真正进入新的调整阶段。

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