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【600179股吧】巴菲特如何在恐慌中把握投资良机(2015-07-11)


600179股吧——阿牛财经

It is inevitable that there will be panic and stampede.During the international financial crisis in 2008, facing the precipitous decline of the Dow Jones index, Warren Buffett, who was used to the big waves in the capital market, felt a trace of fear.I remember that he said to the media at that time:”I feel that this is a scene that I have never seen before.The American public and Congress have not fully understood the seriousness of the problem.I think we are really in the abyss.”
A concrete example of the abyss is that at a friend’s birthday party, many guests asked Mr. Buffett whether the money market fund they invested in was safe.This immediately aroused Buffett’s high vigilance.In the long run, money market funds are synonymous with investment security, but now even this place has set off waves, which shows how critical the confidence of the market has come.

“When people who drive Rolls Royce are worried about their property, you know there is a problem,” he said at the time

600179股吧
The crisis is still fermenting, and there are many bankruptcies of US financial enterprises.However, according to Warren Buffett, with the introduction of a series of huge rescue measures by the US government, it seems that the US stock market is the best time to overcome the fear.

600179股吧——600072股吧

In fact, under the market conditions at that time, Warren Buffett, with tens of billions of dollars in cash, was the target of all major companies, including Goldman Sachs Group.In that year, Bear Stearns, the fifth largest investment bank on Wall Street, was acquired by JPMorgan Chase, Lehman Brothers, the fourth largest investment bank, went bankrupt, Merrill Lynch, the third largest investment bank, sold to Bank of America, and Morgan Stanley received capital injection from Japan’s Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group.As a Wall Street brand, Goldman Sachs must seek more financial assistance if it wants to survive.

On September 23rd of that year, Berkeley’s Berkeley group took a share.According to the agreement reached by the two sides, Buffett injected US $5 billion into Goldman Sachs and will get the corresponding preferred shares with a dividend yield of 10%.In addition, Buffett also got the right to subscribe to the preferred shares and has the right to purchase another US $5 billion of common shares of Goldman Sachs at the price of US $115 per share, which is 8% lower than the closing price of US $125.05 on the same day.
More than a week after investing in Goldman Sachs, Buffett reached an agreement with Ge, another US pillar enterprise.He invested US $3 billion to buy GE’s preferred shares with a dividend yield of 10%.同时,他还获得了30亿美元的通用电气普通股认股权证,行权价格低于当前价格。

600179股吧——600740股吧

巴菲特赚钱了吗?但至少在华尔街风雨飘摇的几个月里,“股神”并没有真正预测到。巴菲特进行这两大投资时,道琼斯股指仍在10000点以上,但在2009年3月,股指一度跌破7000点。股价的大幅下跌让巴菲特蒙受了沉重的损失。
根据伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的年报,2008年是金融危机最严重的一年,公司每股账面价值下跌9.6%,创下1965年沃伦·巴菲特接手公司以来的最大跌幅。

2009年4月,由于股市持续下跌,穆迪取消了伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的AAA评级。这导致公司股价再次大幅下跌。从2008年9月高盛被出售到2009年底,伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的整体市值下跌了30%左右,这对于沃伦·巴菲特(Warren Buffett)来说是一次前所未有的上Macintosh的经历。

600179股吧——渣打银行小额贷款

巴菲特似乎算错了。他后来自嘲说,如果等到2009年3月市场触底时,他再动用现金,就能赚大钱。当时,一些美国分析人士还开玩笑说,“也许是时候让先知得到一个新的水晶球了。”。
然而,作为价值投资的倡导者,沃伦·巴菲特并不是一个赌徒。他不喜欢“快进快出”和“投票后离开”。他看重的是这两家美国公司的长远发展,事实也证明了他的判断。

他在高盛的两项100亿美元投资,50亿股优先股,相当于借债,收入由旱涝保收。然而,10%的高利率让巴菲特每年获利5亿美元。经过计算,他每天可获利137万元。按照巴菲特的说法,每次二手车“滴答”一声,高盛都会付给伯克希尔15美元。

但更大的收益无疑是高盛的股票期权。随着恐慌情绪逐渐缓解,美国股市也开始反弹。到2010年初,高盛股价反弹至170美元,沃伦·巴菲特通过行使股票期权获得巨额收入。他对通用电气的投资也受益匪浅。
巴菲特后来总结说:“我犯了很多错误。我没有利用混乱来最大化利益。但最终,结果却不是那么好

更重要的是,巴菲特在这场最傲慢的金融危机中的果断举动,在一定程度上激励了其他投资者,为市场的稳定做出了巨大贡献。这也体现了巴菲特作为美国超级富豪的大局意识和责任感。这使得他在美国富人圈的穷人整体形象中成为正能量的代表。难怪在2008年美国总统大选中,当时的民主党总统候选人奥巴马和共和党对手麦凯恩在这一点上都采取了相同的立场:如果当选,欢迎沃伦·巴菲特出任美国财长。

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