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【600121股吧】“证金系”A股筹码拼图(2015-10-30)


600121股吧——外围股市

  与往年的经营业绩、盈利预测等指标相比,“证券金融系”的持股图成为今年三季报投资者关注的核心。作为护航a股稳定运行的“王牌”,中国证券金融股份有限公司(以下简称“国金公司”)三季度买入了哪些股票?花了多少钱?实现了什么样的盈亏?证券、黄金公司投资标的选择与a股近期产生的“妖股”是否存在一定关联?随着三季报披露的逐步明晰,上述问题的答案也越来越清晰。
  这条轨道覆盖了近一半的股份

  据《上海证券报》统计,截至10月29日,两市已有1850家A股上市公司如期发布2015年三季报。According to the list of the top ten circulating shareholders disclosed correspondingly, the number of listed companies invested and settled by “Securities and financial department” in the third quarter has reached 876 (excluding the Agricultural Bank of China, which is always held by Huijin Company), accounting for 47.35% of the total number of companies disclosed.Based on the stock price on September 30 (the same below), the corresponding total market value of the above companies held by “Securities and financial department” reached 536.349 billion yuan.

600121股吧
  Although we don’t know the specific logic of stock selection, considering the functions of SEFC in maintaining the stability of the stock market and preventing systemic risks, and combining with the above shareholding distribution, we can see that SEFC did not only pay attention to the valuation and performance of individual stocks, but also preferred to provide liquidity of individual stocks.Statistics show that among the 876 stocks invested by the “Securities and financial system”, there are 212 stocks in the gem and 243 stocks in the SME board with relatively high P / E ratio, accounting for 52% of the total stocks held by the “Securities and financial system”.Looking back at the period from mid June to early July when the market fell sharply, the companies in the above two plates were also the “hardest hit areas” with the most fierce decline and the most serious lack of liquidity.

600121股吧——600305

  In terms of stock market value, blue chip stocks are still the “favorite” of SEFC.Among them, there are four companies with a market value of more than 10 billion yuan, namely China Ping An (30.767 billion yuan), China Life Insurance (16.911 billion yuan), China Unicom (13.603 billion yuan) and Industrial Bank (12.591 billion yuan).In addition, the market value of China Shenhua, Guizhou Maotai, conch cement and other 30 companies held by “Securities and financial system” also exceeded 3 billion yuan respectively.

  In view of the large market value of the blue chip itself, it is not surprising that the large market value held by the “Securities and financial system”.If we measure it by the proportion of shares, it is a different picture.According to statistics, the “Securities and financial system” purchased shares through the secondary market.By the end of the third quarter, there were as many as 47 companies holding more than 10% of the shares, among which Jingwei electronic materials held the highest proportion.具体来看,截至9月底,中央汇金公司持有精卫电子材料4.99%的股权;中国证券公司的10项金融资产管理计划分别持有1.70%的股权,故“证券金融部”整体持股比例为21.99%,总持股规模甚至超过了精卫电子第一大股东董淑林(14.88%)
  不仅是精卫电器材料,按“证券金融系统”总持股比例计算,其在江苏阳光、良信电器、特变电工等公司的持股规模均已超过关联公司第一大股东。对于持股比例极为分散的美妍吉祥来说,证券金融公司直接持有的股份仅为0.39%,但却直接坐拥第一大股东的位置,就连第一大股东这也引发了不少投资者对美妍吉祥的猜测。

600121股吧——000959股吧

  除了股权转让给中国证券资产管理计划公司和汇金公司外,作为过去股票购买的主力军,中国证券资产管理公司三季度末还保留了大量个股,主要是蓝筹股。一个不易忽视的细节是,截至报告期末,证券期货公司持有平安银行、华侨A、宝钢股份等34只个股的股份比例被精确控制在2.99%。这是什么样的“数字代码”?这很有趣。
  80%以上的股票实现了浮盈

  与其他投资机构不同,海基会主要投资于二级市场,以维护市场稳定为目的。不过,作为一个特殊的投资者,外界对这一轮投资中代表“国家队”身份的卡金公司的成绩单更为关注。

600121股吧——上证a股

  而在去年7月中旬和8月上旬之后,公司股票期货指数客观上经历了大幅下跌。因此,很难估计证券期货公司在很长一段时间内投资每只股票的具体成本。However, combined with the trading volume and price position of the relevant individual stocks in a single day, and the functional attribute of the securities and futures company to maintain the stability of the stock price (it is easy not to catch up), it can be roughly judged that the buying behavior of the individual stocks of the securities and futures company should be mainly concentrated in the range of July 7 to 9, and its corresponding investment profit and loss can also be estimated from this.
  According to the reporter’s statistics, with the continuous rebound of the market in the near future, if the average price of the range from July 7 to 9 is taken as the investment cost of the securities and gold company, among the 791 companies in which the securities and gold company acquired shares in the third quarter (85 companies suspended during the period have been excluded), it has made floating profits in investment in 659 companies, accounting for 83% of the total.

  From the perspective of floating profit scale, AVIC power, CNOOC development, Wanxiang Qianchao, and Jiuyang Co., Ltd. have contributed considerable returns to the company, among which the case of Jiuyang Co., Ltd. is the most obvious.According to the company’s third quarterly report, the “Securities and financial system” held 12.14% equity at the end of the period, corresponding to 93.2012 million shares.Looking back at the market performance on July 8, when a huge amount of sales orders closed the drop limit, a share of capital continued to buy Jiuyang shares, and once broke the drop limit.On that day, the turnover of 2.41 billion yuan was a record amount.According to this judgment, the securities and futures company should be the main buying force on that day.Based on the latest price of 25.02 yuan per share of Jiuyang shares, the securities and futures company made a huge amount of money at that time and has now made a floating profit of more than 800 million yuan.

  However, in terms of floating profit ratio, the potential stocks such as Hengxin, meiyanjixiang, hailun piano, etc., which are not large in the stock holding scale of “Securities and financial system”, have brought super high returns in the short term.Take potential Hengxin as an example.After the securities and futures company bought a small number of shares, the company immediately suspended trading on July 9.After the resumption of trading on September 30, the share price has soared by 251%.
  Of course, a few of the stocks invested by SEFC are in the state of floating loss.In particular, the individual stocks of banks and securities companies bought by the securities and futures company earlier broke down one after another in the middle and late August.正苦苦护盘的证券期货公司的相应投资,目前应该不会产生利润。

  多数“疯牛股”缺位
  通过在二级市场直接购买股票,海基会在7月初为多家A股上市公司提供了流动性支持。但一个有趣的现象是,现在,对于一批在a股非理性下跌结束后迅速反弹甚至大幅飙升的“妖股”来说,除了持有潜力股恒信和美妍吉祥外,其他很多“妖股”都没有涉及。逻辑是什么?

  以泰利a为例。在经历了连续跌停,并于7月9日跌至9.88元/股的阶段性低点后,公司股价在多只基金的推动下一路飙升。最高价一度达到87.10元/股,堪称“妖股”至理名言。而最新披露的三季报显示,截至9月30日,公司股东名单中并未出现“卡金制”的身影。
  同样,在“第三季度财报”中也可以发现,洛阳钢铁、浦江玻璃、浦江玻璃等个股的股价涨幅惊人。

  记者发现,上述牛股在前期股价下跌时并未被纳入证券期货公司的“法眼”,主要原因有二:一是相关个股并非证券期货公司的首要“救市”对象。从盘面可以看出,7月8日,该证券期货公司动用大量资金买入股票。回顾泰利a、上海莆田、锦江投资、洛阳玻璃等个股,7月8日仍处于成交量的态势,这也证实了当时证券期货公司并未买入相关个股,而是优先买入其他个股。第二种情况是,证券期货公司入市时相关股票刚刚停牌,当市场处于反弹阶段时,市场上的资金会直接冲着募集资金,因此证券期货公司没有必要再买入股票来提供流动性。
  但证券黄金公司为何不参与上述个股毕竟走出了“妖股”的走势?“这不是偶然现象,背后有一定的逻辑。”在深圳一位私募人士看来,上述个股之所以能走“妖”,除了自身的题材之外,还应该考虑股东之间的博弈因素。

  也就是说,当市场极度低迷时,投资者不惜一切代价抛售股票。对于上述股票,如果证券期货公司不主动买入股票,那么肯定会有大量廉价筹码被大基金抢走,那么它将有更大的动力推动股价上涨。

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